Sebastian Vettel – who has already secured the F1 World Championship – has achieved race wins at this course in the previous two seasons, last year from pole. It is a sound prediction that he makes it three in a row.
Vettel can be backed at best odds of 5/6 (William Hill – £25 free bets) to take victory once again on Sunday, and could be worth backing in the hat-trick market (pole, win, fastest lap) at a very tempting 5/1 (SkyBet – £10 free betting).
Jenson Button is the main contender for second in the race and the championship itself, although he will probably come from a position slightly further down the grid. He will therefore need to work hard to justify the odds of 7/5 (Unibet) for him to win in the ‘without Vettel’ market.
Fernando Alonso has declared he is no longer fighting for second place, but is this just a bluff to make Button complacent? Who knows with the mysterious, moody Spaniard?
Lewis Hamilton and Felipe Massa are both well out of the race for second in the championship and only seem to be interested in racing (and irritating) each other. With the title already gone, the battle between these two may be the most interesting aspect of the race to watch this weekend, especially with the double DRS zone making more overtaking opportunities for the jostling pair.
Mark Webber is likely to feature in and amongst the leaders, and could gain a place on the podium but will probably drive a relatively uneventful race once again. Meanwhile lower down the grid, Kamui Kobayashi will be hoping to finish this race with his car in one piece. While in the Force India, Paul Di Resta’s rookie season is likely to end with a few more points from this race and Brazil to set him up nicely for the 2012 season. None of these drivers have much hope of troubling the front-runners, of course.
Indeed, overall we really can’t see past a Vettel win, and there’s certainly value in backing a Vettel/Button one-two finish at best odds of 6/1 (Bwin).