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Borussia Dortmund would need something of a mini-miracle in order to pip Marseille and Olympiakos to second place in the group. The German side would have to win here by at least four goals if Arsenal beat the Greek side, or if the other Group F game ends in a draw Dortmund would need to score five to progress. Something tells me they are waving goodbye to the Champions League. They still have a decent chance of winning this match, however, and can be backed at best odds of 8/11 (Paddy Power – £100 free betting).
Marseille, meanwhile, have accumulated seven points in the group so far (with Olympiakos on six and Dortmund on four), so a win here would see them take second. If they draw, they would need Arsenal to get at least a draw in Greece. Given that Arsene Wenger will no doubt use the opportunity to rest prize asset Robin van Persie (and probably others), Marseille will be keen to keep their fate in their own hands. They look a decent price at 9/2 (bet365 – £200 free betting) to get the win, but the draw could be more realistic at a best price of 14/5 (Sportingbet).
When the sides met on matchday two, Marseille made short work of their German visitors, winning 3-0. But Jurgen Klopp’s side are a different animal on home turf and are unlikely to get turned over in such a manner again. They are unbeaten in their six home games against French opposition and we feel they will maintain that record. If you are confident of the match ending all-square it is worth considering backing the draw at both half time and full time at odds of 5/1 (Betfred), with Marseille edging through to join Arsenal when the fun really begins.