England might have won their three Pool B games by an aggregate total of 99 points, although that will count for little should Scotland win by eight points in Auckland on Saturday morning.
Martin Johnson must have been hoping for the Scots to hold their lead against Argentina last weekend, although the Red Rose now face a team scrapping to stay in the competition and we can expect a hard-fought match.
England are huge favourites to claim victory, with odds of 1/5 (Stan James – £150 free bets) the biggest available and a repeat of the performance that gave them a 67-3 win over Romania would surely help them over the line.
However, this is a totally different game and Scotland can be backed at 5/1 (bet365 – £200 free betting) to clinch a win that may or may not be enough to knock out the English and see Andy Robinson’s side through to the last eight.
Naturally, the handicap market is the most popular for betting and you can get England at even money (bet365) giving their opponents a ten-point start, which by rights they should easily be able to cover. The Scots are available at the same odds with a ten-point advantage should you think they will either win, draw or lose narrowly.
Chris Ashton is the favourite at 8/1 (William Hill) to score the first try of the match, although they could be in short supply based on previous Scottish matches and we like 6/4 with Sportingbet that there are 38 points or less in this match.