After a shaky start in the Champions League, Manchester City can seal qualification to the next round with victory over Napoli on Tuesday.
It will not be easy for them but they are in fine form and so the best price of evens (bet365 – £200 free bets) for them to win is definitely worth considering. They have won their last nine in all competitions, including two victories over Villarreal and that remarkable 6-1 win at Old Trafford.
Their amazing array of attacking options has seen them score goals almost at will and so over 2.5 goals is always a good call. Not since their defeat to Bayern Munich 10 games ago have they featured in a game with two goals or less and so 41/40 (bet365) for over 2.5 looks a good bet. Seven of their nine wins have had four or more goals so if you want to be more adventurous check out the 12/5 (also bet365) for over 3.5 goals.
Napoli are 3/1 with Stan James (free betting £150) to take the points and to do so they will have to find a way to stop the Man City scoring machine. The Italians are not in the best form, with just one win in seven, although they have kept three clean sheets in that period.
A draw would keep them in the hunt for qualification and so they may give a typical Italian performance, try to keep things very tight and possibly nick a winner. Given City play Bayern Munich in the last match, whilst Napoli travel to Villarreal (who have lost all four games so far), playing for the draw may be a decent strategy.
Walter Mazzarri will be well aware of the danger of allowing Aguero, Silva and co to control the game and so we expect a tough, fiercely contested game at the San Paulo. City’s goal statistics indicate a high-scoring match but the home tactics may work against this.