Last time these sides met was in the FA Cup in 2002 when Burton – then managed by Nigel Clough – drew 2-2 at Boundary Park before losing on penalties in the replay.
Current Brewers manager Paul Peschisolido would certainly be happy with a draw against an Oldham side who – despite stuttering at times – have had some solid home results in League One this season. The bookies, however, think this will be a straightforward home win, pricing The Latics odds-on at a best price 4/5 (bet365 – £200 free bets). This compares to odds of 19/5 for a Burton victory (188bet – £25 free betting), which are not quite big enough to encourage us to back the visitors.
This being the FA Cup, there is always the possibility that Burton will cause Oldham problems at Boundary Park this time around. Justin Richards and Billy Kee have netted 18 goals between them this season already and will be more than keen to add to their tallies. Kee has looked particularly potent of late, scoring a fine hat-trick in his side’s 6-3 win at Barnet at the end of October.
Having said that, Oldham have conceded an average of just 1.125 goals at home in the league this season. This, along the face they have scored just eight in eight league matches at Boundary Park, points towards a low-scoring affair. Backing under 2.5 goals looks decent value at evens (bet365), while you could opt for a 1-0 or 2-0 home victory for a bigger potential return for the extra risk.
If you fancy playing it safe, though, we would recommend backing Oldham to win this one outright. Paul Dickov’s team have enough experience and defensive organisation to overcome this potential banana skin on Saturday afternoon.