Franciszek Smuda’s team couldn’t really ask for a more winnable match to give them the best possible chance of making it through to the quarter finals and the Poles have been well supported ahead of the game. Some firms have odds-on quotes available although you can still get evens (Paddy Power free bets).
The warm-up matches suggest Poland will be tough to beat in front of their passionate supporters and the team do boast several of the players that helped win the German domestic double for Borussia Dortmund, including star striker Robert Lewandowski.
Lewandowski has scored 30 goals in 67 appearances for Dortmund and the 23-year-old has been heavily backed in the Golden Boot market, with odds of 5/1 available (BetVictor) that he breaks the deadlock against the Greeks.
Club team-mates Jakub Błaszczykowski and Łukasz Piszczek are also important for the home team if they are to land the spoils in this match while Poland boast the impressive Arsenal goalkeeper Wojciech Szczęsny who has only nine caps to his name but bags of confidence.
Indeed, the White Eagles have looked tight defensively in the recent friendlies and it is easy to see them sneaking a 1-0 or 2-0 win against an uninspiring Greece side that don’t score a lot of goals, even if they are less defensive than the team that somehow won Euro 2004.
A 1-0 victory in favour of Poland is predictably short at 5/1 (Blue Square bookmaker) and a 2-0 win can be backed at 15/2 (BetVictor), although there will be some backing Greece at what they consider to be a big price.
The visitors are available at 19/5 with BetVictor and that price seems rather large considering that they actually qualified for the Euro 2012 finals on merit unlike their opponents who automatically reached this stage as co-hosts.
Fernando Santos’ team finished above Croatia in qualifying and will make themselves very hard to beat, so perhaps the draw price of 11/5 makes more appeal than some of the odds-on quotes being offered on Poland.
After all, few people go looking to back the draw, although we should appreciate that this Polish side had a disastrous 2010 World Cup qualifying campaign and South Africa demonstrated two years ago that home advantage can only take you so far.
Theofanis Gekas has a decent scoring record for the Greeks and the Samsunspor striker is an 8/1 chance to break the deadlock, while we can’t rule out the prospect of a stalemate and No Goalscorer is probably worth a nibble at 6/1.