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There is everything to play for in the final game with Zenit a point ahead of Porto and both sides still capable of winning the group.
The home side have to win to qualify and could actually leapfrog APOEL FC to win the group if the Cypriot side lose at home against Shakhtar Donetsk. Porto are odds-on favourites to fulfil their end of the bargain and are best-priced at 8/11 with Paddy Power (£100 free bets).
The Portuguese side have a superb record at home, their only dropped points in the league coming in a 2-2 draw with leaders Benfica. The visitors will face a huge challenge in the intimidating atmosphere of the Estádio do Dragão and the odds for them to win – 17/4 (Stan James – £150 free betting) – reflect that. Of 10 European fixtures Porto have played at home this season and last, they have won seven and lost just one.
Furthermore, Vítor Pereira’s side will be keen to avenge their 3-1 defeat in Russia and so we really think that Zenit will struggle. The whistles inside the Dragao can be deafening and we fancy the home side to get off to a fast start. They can be backed at 9/5 to be winning at both half and full time and that should interest many.
Of course, as the St Petersburg side showed in their 3-1 at home, they are no mugs. They won the Europa League in 2008 and the Uefa Super Cup the same year. They triumphed in the Russian Premier League in both 2007 and 2010 and alongside several Russian internationals they also have a number of key imports.
Portuguese defender Bruno Alves spent 10 years at Porto before moving East last year and his international colleague Danny also plays for Zenit. Danny is rated a 7/2 shot (Paddy Power) to score anytime and the €30m attacking midfielder always provides a threat.
Overall though it is impossible to look past the home side and we think they will win an open, attacking game, with the correct score of 2-1 (31/4 – Unibet) a good shout.