Federer has enjoyed a renaissance in the past twelve months which saw the Swiss briefly head the world rankings after his Wimbledon win in the summer, although it is Novak Djokovic who is number one again and looking to cap off another successful year with victory in this match.
There is clearly little between the two players although Federer does have a 16-12 head-to-head record against his Serbian opponent and looks to be the value bet at 11/8, a price that you can get with bet365 who will also be live streaming this contest.
The 31-year-old took a rest ahead of the World Tour Finals by completely skipping the BNP Paribas Masters and the way that he comfortably beat Murray was eye-catching, with Federer determined to prove that he can still play at the very top level.
Djokovic had a tougher semi-final when beating Juan Martin Del Potro, with the Argentine in the driving seat after taking the first set and going a break up in the second before the Australian Open champion came to life.
The world number one has an unbelievable mentality when it comes to winning big matches and never knows he’s beaten, with the bookies going 8/13 (Paddy Power free bets) that the Serbian claims victory in London.
We should probably expect this match to go to three sets based on how closely-matched these players currently are, with bet365 going 5/4 about Over 2.5 Sets and a Federer triumph by a 2-1 scoreline is a 17/4 chance (Sportingbet bookmaker).