Southampton are the team to beat in the Championship this season, but will Brighton have enough to challenge their 100% home record?
The Saints have looked outstanding at home so far in the league, winning eight out of eight, scoring 21 and conceding just five. They are clear favourites to maintain their winning ways at St Mary’s with best odds for the home win of just 1/2 (Betfred – £50 free betting).
Brighton made a fine start to their campaign and won their first four matches, but have since fallen back to tenth place after defeats to Leicester, Crystal Palace, Ipswich and West Ham. Gus Poyet’s side have a lot of quality, however, and could surprise Southampton on Saturday. Odds of 13/2 (Boylesports – £40 free bets) for an away win offer some value, though the draw looks more likely at 7/2 (Victor Chandler).
Nigel Adkins’ side are currently topping the table, five points ahead of West Ham, and show no sign of relaxing. They have won the last three matches, scoring nine and conceding three, so Brighton might have to rely on their rivals losing focus. Something tells me this won’t happen though.
Rickie Lambert has scored 11 goals for Southampton this season (nine in the league), and he’s due another having not scored for over a month. He looks great value at 7/2 (Ladbrokes) to score the opening goal, while Adam Lallana looks a good option to score at anytime at 2/1 (Boylesports).
With all things considered, Brighton could put up a bit of a fight and will certainly not let the home side have it all their own way, but we can’t see past the home win. So back the Saints to extend their home winning run to nine in nine. For a bigger payout go for them to be winning at half time and full time (as they have in seven out of eight so far) at best odds of 6/5 (Paddy Power).