Roberto Mancini’s side are not in the habit of losing matches this season, although Thursday’s 1-0 reverse against Sporting came at a cost, with Vincent Kompany likely to miss the next two matches for his team.
Nevertheless, the Premier League leaders go into Sunday’s game as strong favourites, with the visitors having won 7 of their 13 matches on the road this term. City are a best price 4/6 (Stan James £150 free bets) to claim victory, although recent away games have been far from convincing.
Mancini chose to play a strong side in Portugal and we should expect a similar line-up for this contest, although Mario Balotelli might well get the nod in attack, with the Italian likely to be a popular bet to score the first goal at 4/1 (Paddy Power).
It is clear that City’s gameplan will be to keep things tight defensively and look to eke out a 1-0 victory as they have done recently at Aston Villa and Wigan. You can get odds of 6/1 that we see this scoreline at the Liberty, although Swansea will be fired up for revenge.
After all, the newly-promoted Swans went to Eastlands at the beginning of the season and outplayed their opponents for an hour before collapsing at the end of the game to lose 4-0. However, that has proved to be a rare heavy defeat and the Welsh side have been pretty solid at home, losing just 2 of their 13 matches.
Odds of 11/2 (Boylesports bookmaker) about a home win are a little too large considering that Kompany is missing and Swansea have the tools to make it a difficult afternoon for the champions-elect.